Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.847260 4.104818 4.379055 4.694183 5.048058 5.435263 5.893859
2025-09-28 3.401194 3.755194 4.154459 4.643475 5.233888 5.934067 6.843675
2025-10-05 3.145607 3.552206 4.028891 4.639391 5.416659 6.397491 7.772193
2025-10-12 3.000730 3.451516 3.997211 4.723247 5.692053 6.986731 8.940682
2025-10-19 2.879793 3.362862 3.963434 4.788917 5.936939 7.553818 10.174599
2025-10-26 2.758163 3.260356 3.898420 4.799544 6.097926 8.013660 11.332118
2025-11-02 2.621215 3.127043 3.780409 4.722666 6.118786 8.258119 12.178804
2025-11-09 2.485827 2.986793 3.642293 4.603476 6.060165 8.363292 12.793506
2025-11-16 2.382388 2.882645 3.545610 4.534012 6.066659 8.569817 13.641687
2025-11-23 2.322924 2.833664 3.520675 4.565247 6.230296 9.060879 15.192835
2025-11-30 2.264065 2.781936 3.487886 4.580559 6.367249 9.522366 16.827145
2025-12-07 2.162640 2.666955 3.359043 4.439993 6.230826 9.456962 17.200841
2025-12-14 2.081024 2.578364 3.266842 4.354946 6.189132 9.583064 18.147121
2025-12-21 2.016524 2.511322 3.202868 4.310277 6.213728 9.845713 19.572440
2025-12-28 1.968326 2.465083 3.166690 4.306671 6.309440 10.268149 21.655508
2026-01-04 1.944415 2.452119 3.178622 4.380892 6.553163 11.051273 25.350261
2026-01-11 1.917796 2.433843 3.181143 4.438947 6.772324 11.827100 29.658088
2026-01-18 1.880841 2.398876 3.156200 4.448336 6.897625 12.408524 33.755801
2026-01-25 1.827679 2.338177 3.088828 4.380379 6.861742 12.581485 36.179099
2026-02-01 1.768621 2.266993 3.002521 4.274853 6.740549 12.514499 37.372800
2026-02-08 1.722750 2.214099 2.942979 4.213259 6.705058 12.672324 40.027724
2026-02-15 1.699456 2.194101 2.934299 4.240964 6.858812 13.382225 47.054060
2026-02-22 1.674219 2.170289 2.918442 4.254540 6.983586 14.042985 55.173769